These are the learning objectives for this portion of the class:

- Define symmetrical outcomes
- Compute probability in a situation where there are equally-likely outcomes
- Compute the probability of two independent events both occurring
- Compute the probability of either of two independent events occurring
- Describe the gambler’s fallacy
- Compute probability in a situation where there are equally-likely outcomes
- Define binomial outcomes
- Compute the probability of getting X successes in N trials
- Compute cumulative binomial probabilities
- Find the mean and standard deviation of a binomial distribution
- Define multinomial outcomes
- Compute probabilities using the multinomial distribution
- Compute the probability of a condition from hits, false alarms, and base rates using Bayes’ Theorem

These are the learning objectives for this portion of the class:

- Describe the shape of normal distributions
- State 7 features of normal distributions
- State the proportion of a normal distribution within 1 and within 2 standard deviations of the mean
- State the mean and standard deviation of the standard normal distribution
- Use a Z table
- Use the normal calculator
- Transform raw data to Z scores
- State the relationship between the normal distribution and the binomial distribution
- Use the normal distribution to approximate the binomial distribution
- State when the approximation is adequate

- Read: Manga Guide to Statistics sections of interest:
- 65-80, 89-98

- Read: Why Everyone Thinks They’re Safer than Average
- Watch: Introductory Statistics: Chapter 4: Probability
- Watch: The Shape of Data: Distributions: Crash Course Statistics #7
- Watch: Probability Part 1: Rules and Patterns: Crash Course Statistics #13
- Watch: Probability Part 2: Updating Your Beliefs with Bayes: Crash Course Statistics #14
- Watch: The Binomial Distribution: Crash Course Statistics #15
- Watch: Z-Scores and Percentiles: Crash Course Statistics #18
- Watch: The Normal Distribution: Crash Course Statistics #19

There are a number of assignments this week, as usual.

This week’s activity covers probability

Don’t forget about your chapter quizzes! Find them in the Quizzes menu in D2L.

**Remember! For Slack posts involving chapter group questions, answers, and responses, use the following convention at the beginning of your post:**

Group 3 picking their

questionwould start with:G3Q

Group 4answeringtheir own question would start with:G4A

Group 5respondingto another group’s answer would start with:G5R

The Slack markup code for writing those would be: `*G3Q*`

and so on, as *s around text make it **bold**.

Choose a question from the end of chapter 5 in the section called “Exercises” to answer. Post the question and your answer, and make sure to justify your response.

For example, if you determine that a type of statistic is descriptive, provide your reasoning being specific about the problem presented and your answer.

Next, respond to another students’ answers by asking a question for clarification, providing a personal experience, posting a thought-provoking question, taking a controversial, but professional stand, adding something new to the conversation, quoting another student’s comment and add an additional idea based on this comment, etc.

Your responses should be respectful and offered in a professional manner. You may wish to review the behavior Course Policies to help frame your response. Remember, you will be responding about the specific idea, issue, or question.

*You may not answer a question that has been previously addressed.*

Choose a question from the end of chapter 7 in the section called “Exercises” to answer. Post the question and your answer, and make sure to justify your response.

For example, if you determine that a type of statistic is descriptive, provide your reasoning being specific about the problem presented and your answer.

Next, respond to another students’ answers by asking a question for clarification, providing a personal experience, posting a thought-provoking question, taking a controversial, but professional stand, adding something new to the conversation, quoting another student’s comment and add an additional idea based on this comment, etc.

Your responses should be respectful and offered in a professional manner. You may wish to review the behavior Course Policies to help frame your response. Remember, you will be responding about the specific idea, issue, or question.

*You may not answer a question that has been previously addressed.*

Copyright © 2019 Ryan Straight. All rights reserved.